Fintech and the NPL Provisioning Coverage Ratio: Facilitating or Inhibiting

Authors

  • Xinyao Li Yan'an University
  • Jingjing Yang Pusan National University
  • Xuandong Zhang Yan'an University

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.62177/apemr.v2i4.485

Keywords:

Fintech, Non-performing Loan Provision Coverage Ratio, Leverage Ratio, Weighted Net Risk Assets

Abstract

Fintech has become a crucial driver of technological and business model innovation in modern commercial banking. With its widespread adoption, the impact of fintech on banks' risk management, particularly on the non-performing loan (NPL) provision coverage ratio, has garnered significant attention in both academic and industry circles. Using microdata from 42 listed commercial banks in China's A-share market between 2007 and 2022, this study constructs a theoretical and econometric model to examine this relationship. The findings reveal three key insights: first, fintech significantly suppresses the NPL provision coverage ratio. Second, fintech indirectly promotes risk-taking in China's banking sector by affecting leverage. Third, weighted net risky assets have a negative moderating effect on the relationship between fintech and the NPL provision coverage ratio. These findings offer valuable implications for commercial banks in strategically deploying fintech to prevent and mitigate NPL risks, improve operational performance, and achieve sustainable high-quality growth.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

Acosta-Smith, J., Grill, M., & Lang, J. H. (2020). The Leverage Ratio, Risk-taking and Bank Stability. Journal of Financial Stability, 100833. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfs.2020.100833

Alessi, L., Bruno, B., Carletti, E., Neugebauer, K., & Wolfskeil, I. (2021). Cover Your Assets: Non-performing Loans and Coverage Ratios in Europe. Economic policy, 36(108), 685-733. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/epolic/eiab013

Anastasiou, D. (2023). Management and Resolution methods of Non-performing loans: A Review of the Literature. Crises and Uncertainty in the Economy, 187-201. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-19-3296-0_11

Barth, J. R., & Miller, S. M. (2018). Benefits and Costs of a Higher Bank “leverage ratio”. Journal of Financial Stability, 38, 37-52. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfs.2018.07.001

Baskaya, S., Gutierrez, J. E., Serena, J. M., & Tsoukas, S. (2023). Unloading NPLs, Unlocking Credit? Evidence from the ECB Provisioning Guidelines.

Benoit, S., Colliard, J. E., Hurlin, C., & P´erignon, C. (2017). Where the risks lie: A survey on Systemic Risk. Review of Finance, 21(1), 109–152. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/rof/rfw026

Berg, T., & Heider, F. (2020). Leverage and Risk-taking. Working Paper, European Central Bank.

Bernanke, B. S., Gertler, M., & Gilchrist, S. (2019). The Financial Accelerator in a Quantitative Business Cycle Framework. Handbook of Macroeconomics, 1(2), 1341-1393. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/S1574-0048(99)10034-X

Bhasin, N. K., & Rajesh, A. (2021). Study of Increasing Adoption Trends of Digital Banking and FinTech Products in Indian Payment Systems and Improvement in Customer Services. In Collaborative Convergence And Virtual Teamwork For Organizational Transformation, 229-255. DOI: https://doi.org/10.4018/978-1-7998-4891-2.ch012

Budnik, K. B., Dimitrov, I., Groß, J., Volk, M., Lampe, M., Kusmierczyk, P., & Vagliano, G. (2022). The Economic Impact of the NPL Coverage Expectations in the Euro Area. ECB Occasional Paper, (2022/297). DOI: https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.4174731

Chen, B., Yang, X., & Ma, Z. (2022). Fintech and Financial Risks of Systemically Important Commercial Banks in China: an Inverted U-shaped Relationship. Sustainability, 14(10), 5912. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/su14105912

Chen, Y., Wu, J., & Yang, Z. (2021). FinTech and Financial Inclusion: Evidence from China. Finance Research Letters, 39, 101-112.

Cheng, M., & Qu, Y. (2020). Does bank FinTech Reduce Credit Risk? Evidence from China. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 63, 101398. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pacfin.2020.101398

Colombage, S. (2023). Financial Technology (Fintech) and Sustainable Financing: A New Paradigm for Risk Management. Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 16(12), 502. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/jrfm16120502

DeAngelo, H., & Stulz, R. M. (2015). Liquid-claim Production, Risk management, and Bank Capital Structure: Why high Leverage is Optimal for Banks. Journal of Financial Economics, 116(2), 219-236. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2014.11.011

Kartal, M. T., Depren, Ö., & Depren, S. K. (2020). Determination of Influential Financial Factors on Non-performing loans: Evidence from Turkey. International Journal of Monetary Economics and Finance, 13(6), 569-584. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1504/IJMEF.2020.112193

Kim, K., Patro, S., & Pereira, R. (2017). Option Incentives, Leverage, and Risk-taking. Journal of Corporate Finance, 43, 1-18. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcorpfin.2016.12.003

Li, H., & Zhu, J. (2021). The Impact of Fintech on Bank Lending Standards: Evidence from China. Journal of Financial Stability, 54, 100887.

Li, S., Wang, H., & Zhao, J. (2021). AI-driven Risk Management in Banking: The Role of Big Data and Machine Learning. Journal of Financial Stability, 54, 100812.

Li, W. (2020). Improving the Quality and Efficiency of Finance by Fintech. China Economic Transition, 3(2), 8-17.

Li, X., Zhao, Y., & Zhu, H. (2021). Impact of FinTech on Bank Risk-taking: Evidence from China. Journal of Financial Stability, 60, 101025.

Marcel, B., Ortan, T., & Otgon, C. (2010). Information Asymmetry Theory in Corporate Governance Systems. Economic Science Series, 19(2), 516-522.

Muganyi, T., Yan, L., Yin, Y., Sun, H., Gong, X., & Taghizadeh-Hesary, F. (2022). Fintech, Regtech, and Financial Development: Evidence from China. Financial Innovation, 8(1), 1-20. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s40854-021-00313-6

Ozili, P. K. (2018). Impact of Digital Finance on Financial Inclusion and Stability. Borsa istanbul Review, 18(4), 329-340. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2017.12.003

Ozili, P. K. (2019). Non-performing Loans and Financial Development: New Evidence. The Journal of Risk Finance, 20(1), 59-81. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/JRF-07-2017-0112

Ozili, P. K. (2020). Non-performing Loans in European Systemic and Non-systemic Banks. Journal of Financial Economic Policy, 12(3), 409–424. [ DOI: https://doi.org/10.1108/JFEP-02-2019-0033

Riccetti, L., Russo, A., & Gallegati, M. (2013). Leveraged Network-based Financial Accelerator. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 37(8), 1626-1640. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jedc.2013.02.008

Simatupang, A., & Puspitasari, V. A. (2024). The Influence of Capital Adequacy Ratio, Third-Party Funds, Operating Cost to Operating Income Ratio, Loan-to-Deposit Ratio, Non-Performing Loans, and Fintech Adoption on Bank Performance. International Journal of Economics, Business and Innovation Research, 3(01), 225-243.

Sun, R., & Zhang, B. (2023). Can Fintech Make Corporate Investments More Efficient? A Study on Financing Constraints and Agency Conflicts. Economic research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, 36(3). DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2023.2185795

Tan, C., Mo, L., Wu, X., & Zhou, P. (2024). Fintech Development and Corporate Credit Risk: Evidence from an Emerging Market. International Review of Financial Analysis, 92, 103084. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2024.103084

Tatineni, S., & Mustyala, A. (2024). Enhancing Financial Security: Data Science's Role in Risk Management and Fraud Detection. ESP International Journal of Advancements in Computational Technology,2(2), 94-105.

Vithessonthi, C. (2016). Deflation, Bank Credit Growth, and Non-performing Loans: Evidence from Japan. International Review of Financial Analysis, 45, 295-305. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2016.04.003

Vives, X. (2017). The Impact of FinTech on Banking. European Economy, (2), 97-105.

Wang, H., Mao, K., Wu, W., & Luo, H. (2023). Fintech Inputs, Non-performing Loans Risk Reduction and Bank Performance Improvement. International Review of Financial Analysis, 90, 102849. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2023.102849

Wu, X., Jin, T., Yang, K., & Qi, H. (2023). The Impact of Bank FinTech on Commercial Banks' Risk-taking in China. International Review of Financial Analysis, 90, 102944. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2023.102944

Wu, Y. H., Bai, L., & Chen, X. (2023). How does the Development of Fintech Affect Financial Efficiency? Evidence from China. Economic Research-Ekonomska istraživanja, 36(2). DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/1331677X.2022.2106278

Xu, J., Chen, F., Zhang, W., Liu, Y., & Li, T. (2023). Analysis of the Carbon Emission Reduction Effect of Fintech and the Transmission Channel of Green Finance. Finance Research Letters, 56, 104127. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2023.104127

Yang, Y., Zhang, X., & Feng, B. (2023). The Impact of Developing Fintech on Banks: From the Perspective of Net Interest Margin and Non-performing Ratio. Frontiers in Business, Economics and Management, 8(1), 266-271. DOI: https://doi.org/10.54097/fbem.v8i1.6227

Yin, F., Jiao, X., Zhou, J., Yin, X., Ibeke, E., Iwendi, M. G., & Biamba, C. (2022). Fintech Application on Banking Stability using Big Data of an Emerging Economy. Journal of Cloud Computing, 11(1), 43. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s13677-022-00320-7

Yu, J. (2024). Stabilizing Leverage, Financial Technology Innovation, and Commercial Bank Risks: Evidence from China. Economic Modelling, 131, 106599. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2023.106599

Downloads

How to Cite

Li, X., Yang, J., & Zhang, X. (2025). Fintech and the NPL Provisioning Coverage Ratio: Facilitating or Inhibiting. Asia Pacific Economic and Management Review, 2(4). https://doi.org/10.62177/apemr.v2i4.485

Issue

Section

Articles

DATE

Received: 2025-07-01
Accepted: 2025-07-03
Published: 2025-07-14